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The SEQ 2.2m Population Bomb: No Plan as Timber Shortage Looms

Director General admits the state has no plan for structural timber with a surge in population and the 2032 Olympics adding to growing pains.


Tue 15 Aug 23

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Queensland is preparing for a population bomb and has no plan to deal with the shortage of structural timbers.

The draft ShapingSEQ Regional Plan, released for discussion earlier this month, reveals that the State Government plans to build 900,000 new homes by 2046, accommodating 2.2 million additional residents.

According to Deputy Premier Stephen Miles, “Southeast Queensland is booming,” with six million people expected to call this region home by 2046.

On Monday, Deputy Premier Stephen Miles said Queenslanders should look at a mix of housing stock as the SEQ corner is subject to a massive upswing in urban sprawl. (Photo Credit: ABC News Lucas Hall)

Housing Minister Meagan Scanlan emphasised the importance of lifting social and affordable housing capacity to meet the challenging population targets.

“We know that residents in Queensland, like elsewhere in the nation, are facing increased housing pressures that are impacting affordability,” Minister Scanlan said last week.

“With these new targets and requirements for social and affordable housing, government and industry will be clear on what is needed to help deliver for our future population.”

Queensland Housing Minister Meaghan Scanlon earlier this month. (Photo Credit: Lyndon Mechielsen via the Courier Mail)

As reported by Wood Central, population pressures are putting strain on Australia’s capacity for structural timbers, with industry calling on the Government to boost plantation capacity to meet the needs for social housing.

None more so than in Queensland.

The Beerwah East Master Plan

Wood Central can exclusively reveal that 2,700 hectares of plantations are proposed to be reclaimed in Beerwah – in the Sunshine Coast hinterland.

According to ShapingSEQ, the master plan “is the subject of several years of a collaborative effort to identify how to secure the medium to long term supply of developable greenfield land for the Northern sub-region.”

Beerwah East will provide a new residential community with significant employment lands that support a sustainable and efficient settlement pattern for the Sunshine Coast and northern sub-region.

“Its location is a logical expansion of the settlement pattern along the proposed passenger transport corridor…, enabling efficient and sustainable connections with other communities on the Sunshine Coast and the broader SEQ region.”

The Beerwah East MDA, the Master Plan claims, “will also consider the long-term needs and operation of the adjoining Australia Zoo, which is a significant tourist activity and economic driver.”

Under the proposed SEQPlan Wood Central understands that part of the HQPlantations estate will be reclaimed for greenfield residential development.
Under the proposed SEQPlan, Wood Central understands that part of the HQPlantations estate will be reclaimed for greenfield residential development.

Mick Stephens, CEO of Timber Queensland, told Wood Central that the industry has already raised concerns over the proposed resumption of plantation land for housing.

“While we recognise the critical need for more housing in the region and the importance of timber in providing structural framing and other key elements such as timber decking, flooring and cladding, it is ironic that the plan proposes to take the very land away that produces this critical building material”, he said.

“Timber Queensland is working with the Government and industry supply chain partners to minimise any adverse impacts which could be substantial if not addressed adequately.”

Mick Stephens 2010 Fellow: For more than 50 years the Gottstein Trust has created opportunities for recipients to acquire knowledge to grow, manufacture, use and promote Australia’s sustainably grown forest resource.
Mick Stephens is the CEO of Queensland’s peak body for timber and forest-based industries.
Queensland faces a shortage of structural timber

Queensland Forestry Department Director-General Chris Sarra told a budget estimates committee that the State has ‘no plan’ to increase supplies of structural timber.

Dr Sarra responded to Gympie MP Tony Perrett’s questions regarding Queensland’s population surge.

In June, Wood Central Senior Editor Jim Bowden revealed that Dr Chris Sarra was appointed Director-General of Agriculture and Fisheries in Queensland, which, unnamed, embraces forestry.

Minister Mark Furner said the Government would “continue our focus and engagement with the timber industry,” acknowledging that it supported “thousands of jobs” and was “no doubt readying for supporting the growth of those houses (along with a supply of power poles).”

The State’s population grew at “over 100,000 last year,” which Minister Furner said “is an area that (we will) discuss with the cabinet very soon.”

Mr Furner did not answer a question on what representations Queensland had made to the Federal Government to ensure imported timber was “sourced from countries with sustainable forestry practices.”

The Hon. Mark Furner, Queensland Agricultural and Industry Development Minister (centre), with Dr Joe Gattas, Associate Professor at the University of Queensland’s School of Civil Engineering and Dr Rob McGavin, Research Facility and Project Manager at the Queensland Department of Agriculture and Fisheries during a tour of the then ARC Future Timber Hub in 2020.
The Hon. Mark Furner, Queensland Agricultural and Industry Development Minister (centre), with Dr Joe Gattas, Associate Professor at the University of Queensland’s School of Civil Engineering and Dr Rob McGavin, Research Facility and Project Manager at the Queensland Department of Agriculture and Fisheries during a tour of the then ARC Future Timber Hub in 2020.

In Australia, 100% of commercial forest products are sourced from FSC and/or PEFC-certified forests.

Queensland is grappling with a predicted shortfall of 20,000 houses over the next four years unless urgent action is taken.

The warning comes as Housing Minister Meaghan Scanlon was forced to admit the State’s housing crisis was worse than when the Government held its flagship summit on the issue eight months ago.

In June, Ms Scanlon told the Courier Mail that she “strongly supports more density development projects”.

“We need to go up, not just out. We know it’s the best way to get more supply into the market,” she said.

Australia is grappling with a shortage of social and affordable housing. With the risk of structural timber shortages, the cost of materials will surge. Footage courtesy of @7News.
The Olympic Games will create supply-side challenges

In addition to an expected surge in population and associated urban sprawl, a commitment to a carbon-neutral Olympic Games created “challenges” for supply.

As exclusively revealed by Wood Central, Queensland Government will look to mass timber as one of its preferred construction materials for the Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Athlete Villages.

Yesterday, Wood Central revealed updated renders from the Athletes Village in Hamilton Northside. (Photo Credit: Queensland State Government.)

Announced during the ‘Doing Timber Business in Queensland’ symposium, Assistant Minister to the Premier for Veterans Affairs and the Public Sector Bart Mellish supported greater investment in engineered wood products (mass timber) and their use in constructing Olympic Venues.

“We can see timber as a building material has great potential in achieving the government’s commitment to a climate-positive Games.”

Wood Central understands that the main athletes’ village will be built on prime Brisbane waterfront real estate at Hamilton, with smaller accommodation options near the rowing venue on the Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast, and Kooralbyn.

“Using timber for the athletes’ village could achieve a dual legacy as a sustainable venue and as lasting affordable accommodation.”

Author

  • Jason Ross

    Jason Ross, publisher, is a 15-year professional in building and construction, connecting with more than 400 specifiers. A Gottstein Fellowship recipient, he is passionate about growing the market for wood-based information. Jason is Wood Central's in-house emcee and is available for corporate host and MC services.

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